Macro View | James Foster
Independent Australian and global macro analysis
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Monday, July 7, 2025
Preview: RBA July Meeting
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Receding inflation risks and a fragile household sector have a 25bps rate cut from the RBA firmly in the frame for today's meeting (deci...
Friday, July 4, 2025
Macro (Re)view (4/7) | United front from central banking chiefs
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It was tougher going for risk assets this week as the outlook for Fed easing was pared back and fiscal and deficit concerns returned to the ...
Thursday, July 3, 2025
Australia's trade surplus narrows to 4½-year low in May
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Australia's trade surplus halved in May to $2.2bn, its narrowest since August 2020 - defying expectations to come in at $5bn. The surpl...
Australian dwelling approvals rise 3.2% in May
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Australia's dwelling approvals series lifted for the first time since the opening month of 2025 rising by 3.2% in May, a slight miss on...
Wednesday, July 2, 2025
Australian retail sales up 0.2% in May
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Australian retail sales rose 0.2% for May, an underwhelming outcome relative to expectations (0.5%) coming off a flat month in April (revise...
Friday, June 27, 2025
Macro (Re)view (27/6) | US equities to new highs
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Easing concerns around trade and geopolitics and a dovish repricing of the Fed outlook saw investors sending US equities to record highs and...
Tuesday, June 24, 2025
Australian CPI slows to 2.1% in May
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Australian inflation has continued to cool, validating the near 80% chance markets have assigned to an RBA rate cut in July. Headline CPI in...
Friday, June 20, 2025
Macro (Re)view (20/6) | Fed stays patient
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Geopolitics continued to dominate the headlines as markets also worked their way through a raft of central bank meetings. Equities lacked co...
Wednesday, June 18, 2025
Australian employment -2.5k in May; unemployment rate 4.1%
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Australian employment unexpectedly fell by 2.5k in May, unable to follow on from its largest rise in 14 months in April (87.6k). The unemplo...
Preview: Labour Force Survey — May
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Australia's monthly update on the labour market for May is due from the ABS at 1130 today. Employment rediscovered form in April surging...
Friday, June 13, 2025
Macro (Re)view (13/6) | US inflation supports Fed cut prospects
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Middle East conflict reverberated across markets late in the week putting equities under pressure. The US dollar lifted following Israel...
Friday, June 6, 2025
Macro (Re)view (6/6) | Markets push through the noise
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Macro developments were largely overshadowed this week by the Trump-Musk split, but despite the noise equities still broadly made ground. An...
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